Numancia – Real Madrid Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (04.01.2018)


Numancia and Real Madrid meet at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in a match for this phase of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals). There is no record of direct confrontations between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last match was played on 31-01-2009 and ended with the score: Numancia (0-2) Real Madrid. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.


Until reaching this phase of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals), the home team eliminated: Málaga, Sporting Gijón and Real Oviedo. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 11 conceded. The team comes to this match after a home win against Sevilla II by (3-0). In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, Numancia won 8 and lost 2.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 4 matches. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 24 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 17 out of 24 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 games, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 9 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 12 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they scored 10 of their 20 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Numancia enters this game motivated, after a home win, 3-0, in the reception at Sevilla B: Manu del Moral, Marc Mateu and Nacho scored the goals of the victory. The greatest valence of the local team is the ability it demonstrates to drive its attacks through rapid transitions. To note that from a defensive point of view, the difficulties increase when the opposing team attacks through the sides. The Spanish Manu del Moral is the player responsible for making sense of the opponent’s defensive, the highest quality being the finalization. The local coach will not be able to count on Pere Milla and Medina, both injured.

Real Madrid:

The visiting team reached this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals) after a draw at home by (2-2) and a win by (0-2) with Fuenlabrada. This is a team that, oddly enough, was better outside than at home, as in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a home loss to Barcelona by (0-3). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, Real Madrid has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 30 of the last 32 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 28 out of 32 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 4 times and only managed 1 comeback.

Real Madrid comes to this unmotivated day, after a defeat at home, by 0-3, at the reception to Barcelona. The greater valence of the visiting team is in the capacity that demonstrates to lead its attacks through fast transitions. The Portuguese Cristiano Ronaldo is the player in charge of making sense of the rival defense and its highest quality is in the finalization. The foreign technician will not be able to count on Benzema, injured. As it is a game for the Copa del Rey, it is expected that the Real Madrid coach will choose to place less used players on the field.

Prediction Related Bets:

BTS / NO1.840-38.00Over 2.5 goals1.44

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