Italy – Portugal Prediction & Picks (17.11.2018)


Italy – Portugal SOCCER PICKS

Italy and Portugal meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for this phase of the UEFA Nations League (League A). The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 2 wins in the last 2 matches. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since Portugal presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.


After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they won by (0-1) out against Poland, after in the previous match, they lost by (1-0) away with Portugal. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, Italia won 5 and tied 5. Defensive consistency has not been their best, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, since who scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 7 times and never got the comeback.

The squadra azzura has varied its tactical scheme between a 4-4-2 and a 4-3-3, being that in this competition it has played more times in the last one, in which it privileges a more direct style of play. On this day stand out the absence of the AC Milan defender, Romagnoli, a player who was important in the previous match against Portugal, and Federico Bernardeschi, Juventus winger, who is with muscle problems. The most advanced players in the local training will be Chiesa, Insigne and Immobile.

Probable alignment: G. Donnarumma, G. Chiellini, C. Biraghi, L. Bonucci, M. Caldara, Jorginho, G. Bonaventura, M. Verratti, F. Chiesa, L. Insigne, C. Immobile.


The away team is currently in the 1 st position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Italy, by (1-0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Poland, by (2-3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. The team comes to this match after a win away with Scotland by (1-3). In the last 10 away matches Portugal has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, he suffered the first goal 6 times, but got the comeback in 2. There are 2 periods highlighted in the last 10 away matches for all competitions: he scored 7 of his 19 goals between the minutes (31′-45 ‘ ); He suffered 3 of his 6 goals between the minutes (76’-90 ‘).

With the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva has won a more important role in the attack of Portugal. The forward of Manchester City has a lot of technical quality and is exceptional when it comes to exploiting variations for more interior areas from the right flank. João Cancelo and Pepe have excelled in the defense, the first for the depth that gives the right flank, combining with Bernardo Silva, and the second for the security offered to the team, both for its ability to recover balls, and the importance that has in the air game. Pizzi, of the eleven elect, is the element with less highlight, since the Benfica midfielder has been very subdued, taking into account the level at which the fans used to. The trainer Fernando Santos usually acts in a 4-3-3, privileging a game of ball possession. The most advanced players of the visiting team will be Rafa Silva, Bernardo Silva and André Silva. In the midfield Pizzi, Rubén Neves and William must act.

Probable lineup: Rui Patrício, João Cancelo, Mário Rui, Pepe, Rúben Dias, Bernardo Silva, Rúben Neves, William Carvalho, Pizzi, André Silva.

Prediction Related Bets:

Italy win2.251-06.50BTS / NO1.78

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