Defensor Sp. (Uru) – LDU Quito (Ecu) Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (31.05.2017)

Prediction for Defensor Sp. (Uru) – LDU Quito (Ecu)

Defensor Sp. (Uru) to win @ 1.60

With a stake of only 1 we go with this share in favor of the visitors, that I see value, because I think the Ecuadorian team is being very low.

Defensor Sp. (Uru)

Defender sporting, is one of the great teams of Uruguay, of that there is no doubt. Together with Nacional, he is one of those who has been ranking more international cups.
In fact, he is the current champion of the last Apertura tournament.
His streak has been very good, which led him to be the Apertura champion, where he won him deservedly and achieved a great streak of 6 consecutive victories, between April 8 and May 6, where he won the tank, Liverpool , Boston river, Wanderers, and the current Uruguayan national champion, in what was the “decisive” party so that later he could rise with the title.

However, already Defender sporting under the level from the previous match.
Before a weak team like Tank sisley, could not leave the tie, at the beginning of this new tournament called “Intermediate Tournament.”
If there is something that always strikes hard for Defensor is “feeling favorite”, he never fits this role, and the comfort that comes to this game, you can play against him.
Comfort, that I do not see it that way, because although it is important to have tied in Ecuador 2 to 2, it was that, A PITCH, something that perfectly can be turned if the Ecuadorians win the match.
The thing would have been different if Defensor had won that game, because to win of visitor and with 2 goals (that are worth double in case of equality in difference of goals), is a considerable advantage … but a tie, FOR NOTHING is a Difference.
That tie in the minute 88 by Guerrero for me after closing the series could be considered a GOL DE ORO, since it could be the decisive one to give them the classification, if they win.

LDU Quito (Ecu)

Liga de Quito, arrives with “el must” not have won in the first leg, that plays against them, but they also have the advantage that they DO WIN, CLASSIFIED, and that’s very clear.

For League of Quito is a matter of only ONE PARTY, if this party win, will erase the first half of the year, which has been a bummer. It’s been a long time since the League of Quito did not do so badly in the Ecuadorian tournament, they have a streak where since February 24 they do not see any victory, so this game, sealing the passage to the next phase of the South American Cup will be FUNDAMENTAL .

Important factor, is the technical of Sports League of Quito: Gustavo Munua.
He is the former National Technician, and to be removed by the special 2016 tournament.
Munua knows very well all Uruguayan teams and especially Defensor sporting, who faced him several times when he was National coach, so he knows very well “where to hit.”

In conclusion, not to confuse things, I see favorite to Defensor, but it seems to me that the quota in favor of the Ecuadorians is the one that has more value.
For newcomers to this, a fee with value is when the probability of it being met is higher than that given by the houses with the quota.
The bookies give an average share of 5 for the League of Quito, which gives a probability of around 20% to their victory … seems to me very little, I think the probability of victory of them would be between 35% and 40 % Therefore, I see value.