Botafogo RJ – Vasco Prediction & Picks (10.10.2018)

soccer-predictions

Botafogo RJ – Vasco SOCCER PICKS

Botafogo and Vasco da Gama meet at Estádio Nilton Santos, in a match for the 28th round of Serie A. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 02-06-2018, Botafogo won out by (1 -2). In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the away team, which records 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium was on 01-04-2018, for Carioca 1, which ended with the victory of Vasco da Gama by (2-3). The goals of the match were scored by Renatinho (4 ‘) and Brenner (45’), for Botafogo, and Yago Picachu (29 ‘and 31’) and A. Ríos (90 ‘), for Vasco da Gama. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Botafogo:

The home team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vitória, by (3-4). In the last match, they tied in a home match against São Paulo, by (2-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a defeat at home with Bahia by (4-5), in the shoot-off on penalties. For the championship, Botafogo won 17 points out of 30 possible, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 matches they played in their stadium. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 13 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 27 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 13 times and only managed 1 comeback. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (31′-45 ‘).

Botafogo is a club that has already won the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, being the most recent title conquered in 1995, in addition to a B Series title of the Brazilian Championship, in 2015. In the current season, the team has been doing a bad campaign, conquering only 33 of the 81 points played so far, thus occupying the fifteenth position of the national championship, being quite close to the relegation zone. In the last five games that Botafogo played at home, for several competitions, four scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this confrontation, for being facing an opponent that is playing intense games and for being a team that has that characteristic, Botafogo will play another game with more than 1.5 goals.

Vasco da Gama:

After 7 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses, the away team is currently in the 16 th position of the league, with 30 points won. In the last match, they tied in an away match against Paraná, by (1-1), after in the previous match they tied in a match against Santos, by (1-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 away matches Vasco da Gama has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 13 away matches. In the matches played outside their stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 ‘0-0 (5 in 14 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (5 in 14 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches in this tournament, they suffered the first goal 16 times and only managed 2 comebacks.

Vasco is a club that has already won four titles of the Brazilian Serie A Championship, the last one conquered in 2000, a tournament that was called the João Havelange Cup. The Basque still has a title of the Brazilian Cup and twenty-four titles of the Carioca Championship, even was already champion of the Copa Libertadores de América. In the current season of the Brazilian Championship of the Serie A of 2018, Vasco da Gama does not come very well, as it is the current sixteenth place. His bad position is much due to his performance as a visitor. The team simply did not win away from home in this edition of the Brazilian championship and in thirteen games as a visitor it has seven defeats and six draws. Now the Basque will visit the Botafogo and will have to conquer points, because his situation in the classification table is very complicated.


© Andrey


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