Atletico-MG – Bahia Prediction & Picks (24.08.2019)


Atletico-MG – Bahia SOCCER PICKS

Atlético Mineiro and Bahia face in Estadio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 16th round of Serie A. The record of recent direct confrontations between these two teams could not be more balanced, since there were 2 draws and 1 victory for each team in the last 4 games they played. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 17-11-2018, ended with the victory of Atlético Mineiro by (1‑0). The home / away condition deserves particular attention, since despite this being a match between 4th and 10th of the league table, it is actually a confrontation between the 6th ranked in home games and the 18th as a visitor.

Atlético Mineiro :

The home team is currently in the 4th position, with 27 points won, after 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, he won at home against Fluminense by (2‑1). In the last game, he lost out against Atlético PR by (1‑0). This is a team that is usually more competitive at home, since it conquered 17 points in its stadium, where it scored 15 goals and suffered 8, against only 10 points outside, with 7 goals scored and 8 suffered. The team arrives at this match after a home victory with La Equidad by (2‑1). For the championship, Atlético Mineiro conquered 17 points in 24 possible, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 8 games he played in his stadium.

For this competition, he did not lose any of the last 6 games in his stadium. In the matches played in its stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45’1-0 (4 in 8 games) and at the end of the match 2-1 (3 in 8 games). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 games, so he has not presented great defensive strength, but his attack has scored regularly, since he scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of their last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1.5 goals. In 15 matches in the competition, he suffered the first goal 6 times, but he got the comeback in 2. In the last 7 home games for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: he scored 5 of his 13 goals between minutes (76 ‘ -90 ‘).

Atlético Mineiro saw his six-game unbeaten streak finish in the last round, despite the good performance, as he was defeated by Atlético Paranaense and is looking for a recovery to try to approach the leader Santos. The team has a good quality attack, which scored 22 goals in 15 games and is the fourth best in the competition, but its defense needs adjustments, suffered 16 goals and is only the tenth best. Playing at home, as in Saturday’s game, Atlético Mineiro is very strong, has the fifth best season of the championship, lost only 1 of his 8 games and comes from 2 great consecutive victories, in which he scored 2 goals in each one of them, showing again his great offensive strength. For the confrontation against the Bay, coach Rodrigo Santana has no problems in the starting team and will take the field with the best players.

Bahia :

After 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, the visiting team is currently in 10th position, with 21 points won. In their last game, they tied with Goiás at home by (1‑1), after in the previous game they had drawn away, in a match against Palmeiras, by (2‑2). This is a stronger team in his stadium, where he conquered 17 points, against only 4 in his away matches. In its last 7 games as a visitor to the championship, Bahia records 4 draws and 3 losses, so it conquered 4 points in 21 possible.

For this competition, he did not win any of the last 7 away matches. In their home matches there are some frequent results: at rest 1-0 (3 in 7 games) and 0-0 (3 in 7 games) and at the end of the game 0-0 (3 in 7 games). In 15 games in this competition, he only got 1 comeback in the 6 games in which he suffered the first goal.

The Bay is making a mediocre campaign in Serie A, going through a bad phase, with only 1 victory in the last 10 games and looking for an urgent recovery, as it is falling places in the classification. The team needs to improve, especially in the offensive sector, since it only has 17 goals scored in 15 games, while the defense has behaved reasonably, with 15 goals suffered in these 15 games, being a team that needs to create more opportunities and of playing more offensively. Acting away from home, as in the game this Saturday, the Bahia generally faces great difficulties, is one of the 3 teams that has not won as a visitor and scored only 5 goals in 7 games, highlighting again its defensive problems.

© Andrey

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