America MG – Sao Paulo FREE PICKS
América Mineiro and São Paulo meet at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 7 th round of Serie A. In the last 3 years there is only record of 2 direct confrontations between these two teams: one on 31-10-2016, which ended in a victory for América Mineiro by (1-0), and another more recent on 10-07-2016, which ended in a victory for São Paulo by (3-0). Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.
The home team is currently in the 6 th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Ceará, by (2-2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Botafogo, by (1-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a draw away with Palmeiras by (1-1). In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, América Mineiro has won 7 and lost 3. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 games, he never got the comeback in the 4 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
Atlético Mineiro is a club that never won the title of the Brazilian Serie A champion and twice conquered the title of the Brazilian Serie B championship, the last one in the 2017 season, which guaranteed access to the Series A this year. Currently, in the season of 2018, the team is surprising and is in the sixth position, especially for its excellent exhibitions in its stadium, since in the three games that played at home always won. When analyzing their matches as a local team and the history of direct confrontations between America and São Paulo at the home of the Americas, we see that on all three occasions America scored goals, so we believe that they have the conditions to score at least one goal in this match.
After 2 wins and 4 draws, the away team is currently in the 7 th position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won at home against Santos by (1-0), after in the previous match they have tied tied in an away match against Bahia, by (2-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 away matches São Paulo has 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 4 times and never got the comeback.
The São Paulo is a giant club, with six titles in the Brazilian championship, three of the Libertadores and three Club World Cups, but he experienced a recent crisis that took the confidence of the fan. In the 2018 season, the away team, in addition to having been eliminated in the semifinals of the championship in São Paulo, was eliminated from the Brazilian Cup by Atlético Paranaense and now in the Brasileirão it is in seventh position. São Paulo is going to visit America Minero and is aware that it will have to do the traditional six-point game, looking for at least a draw at the home of America, but you will find a fairly consistent team when you play at home. So, we believe that São Paulo, although it has a more technically qualified team, will have difficulties against America and will probably suffer goals.
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