AC Milan – Lazio Prediction & Picks (24.04.2019)



Milan and Lazio meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a return match for this phase of the Coppa Italia (Semi-finals), after the draw by (0-0) in the first leg. The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 7 matches won 4, drew 2 and lost 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, in 13 -04-2019, for Serie A, Milan won by (1-0). F. Kessié (79 ‘) scored the only goal of the match. Attention to the home factor, since Milan usually conquer different results at home and abroad.


After the goalless draw outside in the first leg, the home team needs to win at home to achieve the qualification. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 12 suffered. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they drew Parma by (1-1). In the last 10 home matches Milan has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches.

AC Milan come to this game with a draw, 1-1, in the move to the Parma field, thus registering the second consecutive game without losing in this competition: the only goal of the team was scored by Samu Castillejo. It should be noted that in the first leg of the semi-final of the Italian Cup there was a 0-0 draw. Throughout the season the trainer Gennaro Gattuso has alternated the tactical system between the 4-3-3 and the 4-2-3-1, however, the offensive reference is always the Polish Piatek: this player is the best AC Milan scoreboard in official games, with 8 goals. We emphasize that the home made an average of 1.6 goals in the last 10 games, something that can make a difference in this game. For this game the coach can not count on Bonaventura, a player recovering from injury.


The away team comes to this second leg after a goalless draw with the advantage of not having suffered goals at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they lost to Chievo at home (1-2). In the last 10 away matches Lazio has won 4, tied 1 and lost 5. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 5 times and never got the comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they have suffered 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Lazio part for this game with a defeat, 1-2, at the reception at Chievo, adding the third slight in the last five games: Caicedo was the author of the only goal of the team. After not having achieved a good lead in the first leg of this tie, Lazio must enter the field with some precautions. Thus, the coach Simone Inzaghi must opt ​​for a defensive strategy, benefiting the defensive organization and counterattacks: Joaquin Correa will be the main weapon in this type of transition. On the other hand, Ciro Immobile is the best marker of the foreign club, with 18 goals scored. For this game, the visiting coach can not count on Lukaku and Berisha, both with physical problems.

Prediction Related Bets:

AC Milan win2.551-07.00BTS / NO1.79

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