Tondela – Aves Prediction & Picks (22.04.2018)

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Tondela and Desportivo Aves meet at Estádio João Cardoso, in a match for the 31st round of the Primeira Liga. Tondela won out (0-1) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 12-12-2017. The record of direct confrontations in this stadium is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 matches won 2 and tied 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams met in this stadium was on 06-05-2015, in a match for the League of Honor that ended with the victory of Desportivo Aves by (0-3). Platiny (15 ‘and 58’) and Tito (79 ‘) scored the goals of the match for Desportivo Aves. The condition home / away deserves particular attention, because despite this being a match between 12 th and 16 th of the league table, it is really a match between the 16 th best team in home matches and the 8 th best in away matches.

Tondela:

After 8 wins, 8 draws and 14 losses, the home team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 32 points won. In their last match, they tied with Rio Ave by (1-1), after in the previous match they tied (2-2) at home, in a match against Portimonense. Interestingly, this is a team that has had more positive results outside of its stadium, since it has won 17 points in away matches and only 15 at its stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Tondela has won 3, tied 2 and lost 5, for which they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 30 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 16 matches in which they suffered the first goal.

The Tondela comes to this game with a tie to a ball against Rio Ave, now accumulating five games without winning the Portuguese championship. It is important to underline that the locals have one of the worst records as a local team: only 4 victories in 15 games played. In this game against the fans, coach Pepa must maintain the usual tactical system, the 4-2-3-1, favoring defensive organization and counterattacks: Boyd and Miguel Cardoso are very quick and eager to explore the space on the back of the defense of the rival. Tomané has revealed one of the great stars of the team and at this moment has 8 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Ansell, Murilo, Pité and Tembeng, all injured.

Aves:

After 7 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses, the away team is currently in the 16 th position of the league, with 28 points won. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Porto, by (2-0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Feirense, by (1-0). This is a team little affected by the house factor, since it conquered similar results at home and abroad. In the last match they played, for the Taça de Portugal, they won Caldas by (1-2) at the end of the extra time. In the last 10 away matches for the championship, Desportivo Aves has 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. In 30 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 17 times and only managed 1 comeback.

The Aves arrives at this motivated game, after having advanced towards the final of the Portuguese Cup, by eliminating the Caldas, with two victories, the last one in the overtime of the second leg of the Copa semifinal. In the last match for the championship, Aves added a victory over Feirense, 1-0. The Bird plays in a tactical system different from the one of the adversary, that is, the 4-5-1, privileging the possession of ball and the positional attacks. It is important to underline that the Aves exhibits several faults in offensive set pieces and counterattacks. On an individual level we highlight Paulo Machado, who scored 4 goals so far. For this game coach José Mota can not count on suspended Braga.


© Andrey

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