Guimaraes – Aves Prediction & Picks (18.03.2018)

Vitória Guimarães and Desportivo Aves meet at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 27 th round of the Primeira Liga. Vitória Guimarães won away by (1-3), in the last league head-to-head, played in 10-29-2017. Despite being a match between 10 th and 13 th of the table, it is actually a match between the 11 th best team in home matches and the 8 th best in away matches.

Vitória Guimarães

The home team is currently in the 10 th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 9 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied at home against Belenenses by (0-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Portimonense, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since it has won 20 points in a stadium, where it scored 17 goals and suffered 23 points, against only 10 points in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 25 conceded. For the championship, Vitória Guimarães won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 26 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 13 times and never got the comeback.

The Guimarães enters this unmotivated game, after a foreign snub, by 2-1, in the visit to the land of Portimonense. The club of the house, like the rival of this round, usually act in a tactical system in 4-3-3, privileging the fast transitions. Of note that, in this tactical drawing, the three most advanced players are Rafael Martins, Raphinha and Héldon. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does it through the left flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral defender Konan. The local coach will not be able to count on goalkeeper Douglas Jesús, for being suspended.

Desportivo Aves

The away team is currently in the 13 th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 6 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Portimonense, by (3-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Benfica, by (2-0). This is a team that usually gets more positive results in away matches than at home, since they have won 13 points in away matches and 12 at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded in away matches, against 12 goals scored and 17 conceded at home. In the last 10 away matches for the championship, Desportivo Aves has 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (5 out of 13 matches). In 26 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 15 matches where they have conceded the first goal.

The Desportivo das Aves enters this unmotivated game, after a foreign defeat, by 2-0, in the visit to the Benfica arena. The visiting team may be more unmotivated, after having won only one of the last five games as a visitor. The Aves coach must re-organize his team in a 4-3-3, with the aim of trying to take advantage of the counterattack. In this tactical scheme, the three players responsible for making sense of the rival defense are Nildo Petrolina, Derley and Amilton. Coach Lito Vidigal will not be able to count on midfielder Paulo Machado, for being suspended.