Chaves – FC Porto Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (29.04.2017)

Prediction for Chaves – FC Porto

Under 2.5 goals @ 2.04

Match corresponding to the day 31 of the Portuguese First League where they will play the Chaves and Porto.

Chaves

The Chaves is in the 8th position of the league with 37 points and with nothing in play anymore. With four days to go, European seats have vanished as they have a 14-point difference over Braga, 5th place, and have a 14-point cushion over the Tercela, penultimate.

This Portuguese team has made a brilliant season for me to see. At the start of the league, he expected them to be in 14th place down and why not in the downhill zone. However, the thing has not been so and much of the fault of this have their matches as a local. They have made the Municipal Stadium of Chaves a fortress that to date very few have been able to assault.

In their stadium they have played a total of 15 meetings where they have won 6, they have tied 7 and only they have lost 2 (vs Guimaraes and vs Benfica). In these games they have scored a total of 17 goals and have only conceded 11, giving an average of 1.9 goals per game and have been below the line of 2.5 in 11 occasions out of 15 possible.

Amazing numbers that I hope will not be undone once the season is over.

FC Porto

– Porto come to this meeting as 2nd place and in full fight with Benfica for the league title. Last week, with the stumbling of Benfica in the Lisbon derby against Sporting, did not know how to beat Feirense at Estádio do Dragao and thus be able to get closer to 1 point away from their maximum rival and something gives me that they will regret Not have won that meeting. This weekend they have the worst rival that is left from here to end of season (they have to play vs Marítimo, Paços and Moreirense) and not for the quality, which to date may also but are quite inferior that the team of Casillas and company, if not because of what I said before of Chaves in his stadium. Also, in this field Porto was eliminated from the Taça de Portugal after falling on penalties after not moving the score in the 120 that lasted the encounter.

– Porto is a team more under than it seems or what many think. In 13 of the 30 encounters that have disputed they did not surpass the barrier of 2.5 goals and their parties have an average of 2.6 goals.

If we go further we find that when playing as a visitor is the 6th most under team in the league. In his 14 outings have scored 23 goals and have conceded 6, giving an average of 2.1 goals per game and in 8 of those 14 outings did not reach the 3 goals.

With all this seems that the under is clear and some will wonder why I do not go with a “Porto and less than 2.5 goals” or a “Porto will win zero”. Well, if I do not go, it’s because I do not trust my hair to win here so I think the best option is the under goal because I expect a match very tight for both teams. I hope I’m not wrong.