Spal – Fiorentina Prediction & Picks (17.02.2019)

soccer-predictions

Spal – Fiorentina SOCCER PICKS

SPAL and Fiorentina meet at Stadio Paolo Mazza, in a match for the 24 th round of Serie A. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 22-09-2018, Fiorentina won at home by (3- 0). The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and tied 2. Attention to the home factor, since the SPAL usually conquers different results at home and away.

SPAL:

The home team is currently in the 14 th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Torino by (0-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Atalanta, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 6 victories, 6 draws and 3 defeats in their stadium. In their last 10 home matches for the championship the SPAL won 1, tied 6 and lost 3, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, they have a sequence of 6 draws in the last games at home and they have not won any of the last 9 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 11 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 11 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 23 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 10 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (61′-75 ‘).

The SPAL enters this game unmotivated, after a foreign snub, by 2-1, in the displacement to the arena of the Atalanta. The home club usually acts in a tactical system in 5-3-2, favoring a more offensive style of play, attacking through the side runners. The SPAL is a team that likes to play in its own midfield, with the aim of trying to surprise its opponents through the counterattack. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does it through the right flank, with the purpose of taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral Lazzari. For this game the local coach will not be able to count on midfielder Missiroli, for being suspended.

Fiorentina:

The away team is currently in the 10 th position of the league, with 32 points won, after 7 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Udinese, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Napoli, by (0-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats in his stadium. In the last 10 away league matches Fiorentina has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (7 out of 11 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. In their away matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 12 matches have ended with less than 3 goals. In 23 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 8 matches they suffered the first goal. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Fiorentina enter this round after a home draw, to zero, at the reception to Naples. The visiting club usually acts in a tactical system in 5-2-3, privileging a more offensive style of play, attacking through the lateral corridors. Fiorentina is a team that likes to play in their own midfield, with the aim of trying to surprise their opponents through the counterattack. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does so through the left flank, in order to take advantage of the depth offered by Biraghi. For this game the foreign technician will not be able to count on Kevin Mirallas and Germán Pezzella, for being injured.


© Andrey


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