Spal – Bologna Prediction & Picks (25.01.2020)


Spal – Bologna SOCCER PICKS

SPAL and Bologna measure forces at Stadio Paolo Mazza, in a match for the 21st round of Serie A. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 30‑08-2019, Bologna won at home by (1‑ 0). The history of recent direct confrontations between these two teams indicates total balance, as there were 1 draw and 2 wins for each team in the last 5 games. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since the SPAL presents considerable differences in its results at home and as a visitor.


The home team is currently in 18th position, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost out against Fiorentina by (1‑0). In the last match, he won out against Atalanta by (1-2). This is a stronger team with the support of his fans, since in the last 30 games he has 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses as a visitor, with 15 goals scored and 25 suffered; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in his stadium, with 23 goals scored and 19 suffered. In its last 9 home games for the championship SPAL won 2, drew 2 and lost 5, so it won 8 points in 27 possible.

For this competition, he does not win in his stadium for 5 games. His defense has not been very solid, since he suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since in 6 of the last 9 he played there were less than 3 goals. This is a team that usually marks few times first: he only opened the scoring in 4 of his last 20 matches for Serie A, of these 4 he came to the break in advantage in 3 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 1. In 20 matches in the competition, suffered the first goal 15 times and only got 3 comebacks. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for all competitions: he scored 6 of his 16 goals between minutes (16’-30 ‘).

The formation of SPAL enters this very motivated game, after a 1×2 win, in the visit to the Atalanta arena, returning to the wins after two consecutive defeats in the German championship: the team’s goals were signed by Valoti and Petagna. Now, in this visit to Bologna, coach Leonardo Semplici must maintain the usual 3-5-2, privileging the defensive organization and counterattacks by the flanks. Striker Andrea Petagna is the best gunner of this team, with 7 goals scored. It should be noted that the local club has some weaknesses in the maintenance of the possession of the ball and in the finalization. For this match, the local coach cannot count on D’Alessandro and Mohamed Fares, both with physical problems.

Bologna :

After 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is currently in 12th position, with 24 points won. In their last match, they tied with Hellas Verona at home by (1‑1), after in the previous match they lost out, in a match against Torino, by (1‑0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches it records 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with 24 goals scored and 28 suffered; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with 30 goals scored and 25 suffered. In its last 10 away matches for the championship, Bologna records 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so it won 11 points in 30 possible. In their home league games the most frequent final result at the break was 1-0 (4 in 10 games). His defense has not been very solid, since he suffered at least one goal in each of the last 10 games, but his attack has scored regularly, as he scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 20 games in this competition, he only got 2 comebacks in the 10 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Bologna comes to this match with a tie, by 1×1, at the reception at Verona, thus adding the third consecutive game without winning in this Italian championship: the team’s only goal was signed by Bani. On this trip to the SPAL arena, coach Sinisa MIhajlovic must maintain his usual strategy, that is, it will benefit the possession of the ball and the successive paused attacks: Roberto Soriano is largely responsible for transporting the ball towards the attack. On the other hand, the end Riccardo Orsolini is one of the best finishers in Bologna, with 5 goals scored. For this match, the coach cannot count on Sansone and Mattia Bani, suspended, as well as Medel, Dijks and Denswil, these with physical problems.

Prediction Related Bets:

Bologna WIN2.381-29.00BTS / YES1.64

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