Prediction for AS Roma – Empoli
Roma and minus 4.5 goals @ 1.70
Stake 1, although the software will not let me put 10 because it still takes as reference this month and would be offline.
I like this pick a lot because a Roma victory at home should be clear and the only drawback is that they do not reach 5 goals. That’s why I think it’s worth a try. In addition there are circumstances that benefit the pick.
The Roma march 2 to 8 points of Juventus and with 2 of margin on the Naples. On Sunday they will play Napoli-Juventus, and either by approaching the leader (could be put to 5) or by moving away to Naples to secure a direct place for the UCL, will benefit.
The game is ahead because Tuesday will have the return of the semifinals of the cup of Italy against the eternal rival, Lazio, against whom they must go up a 2-0.
Roma come strong with 6 wins in the last 7 games. At home takes 13v-1d, precisely the last puncture that was the defeat against Naples. As for goals has a balance of goals of 40-11 in 14 games (3.6 goals on average), not exceeding the line 4.5 goals in 10 of 14.
For this match is low by sanction Strootman. In addition Rossi is almost ruled out by injury and has the majority of players that come from international parties and with hard trips. Players like Nainggolan or Fazio could rest.
The Empoli for its part little should do in this match. 17th with 22 points has 7 points more than the line marked by the decline and is 7 of Genoa ahead. Next week they will receive the Pescara so that they could almost certify the permanence, so I do not expect any recklessness as far as aggressiveness or forcing players touched.
And the players touched I say because to the already known low by sanction of the central Costa, the other holder Bellusci is doubtful for problems in the back. Also Mchedlidze is still low but could be called. Since the team’s top scorer is not there, they have not scored.
Empoli is the team that has the least goal of Serie A. 17 in 29 games and would lack 7 of them. Away 1v-4e-9d with a 6-23 goal difference in 14 games (2.1 goal per game). In 13 of 14 matches he did not reach 5 goals.
Although coming from a 2-3 against Napoli, rare match since they went 0-3, their result against the big ones have been under: Away 2-0 Lazio, 2-0 Naples, 2-1 Atlanta, 2-0 Inter and 2-0 Juventus. At home 0-2 Inter, 0-3 Juve, 0-0 Roma, 0-4 Fiore, 1-4 Milan and 1-2 Lazio.
As you can see almost all defeats and unmarked. It is what I hope. Roma are over but it does not fit and Empoli does not look too big the goalkeeper. I also expect changes in the local team and will not get their players fresh so I do not expect a thrashing. Roma have not reached 5 goals this season so except a 4-1 we should cover this pick well.
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