Prediction for Atalanta – AC Milan
+4.5 cards @ 1.85
Last bullet that has left to Milan to try to enter positions of Europa League.
Atalanta and Milan are 5th and 6th respectively and are separated by 6 points. There are 3 days left, 9 points in total, so all that is not winning for Milan will exhaust all the options to play in Europe next season although, by itself, it has quite complicated.
The game is almost a final and both teams average good numbers on cards.
Atalanta at home has an average of 4.8 cards in their games:
Atalanta – Juventus: 5 cards.
Atalanta – Bologna: 5 cards.
Atalanta – Sassuolo: 7 cards.
Atalanta – Pescara: 4 cards.
Atalanta – Fiorentina: 6 cards.
Atalanta – Crotone: 7 cards.
Atalanta – Cagliari: 6 cards.
Atalanta – Sampdoria: 4 cards.
Atalanta – Empoli: 7 cards.
The Atalanta has seen at least 4 cards in their games and would give us 7 hits in the last 9 games. Against teams already descended and without playing anything like the Pescara saw 4 yellow, to 1 card of +4.5. I do not expect less in a party as important as this.
The Milan away from home averages 5.5 cards:
Crotone – Milan: 7 cards (1 red).
Inter – Milan: 5 cards.
Pescara – Milan: 8 cards.
Juventus – Milan: 10 cards (1 red).
Sassuolo – Milan: 9 yellow cards.
Lazio – Milan: 4 yellow cards.
Bologna – Milan: 13 yellow (2 red).
Udinese – Milan: 5 yellow cards.
Juventus – Milan (Cup): 10 yellow (1 red).
Torino – Milan: 9 yellow (1 red).
Incredible Milan numbers as a visitor, where in the last 9 games of 10 played we would have the right forecast. There have been red cards in 5 of his last 10 games and very high amounts of cards, up to a total of 9, 8, 10 and 13 cards. An atrocity.
The referee it’s a foul Gianluca Rocchi. This year 2017 has refereed the following matches in Serie A:
Inter – Lazio: 4 cards.
Cagliari – Torino: 7 cards (1 red).
Palermo – Rome: 5 cards.
Genoa – Bolonga: 3 cards (1 red).
Palermo – Crotone: 5 cards (1 red).
Milan – Napoli: 8 yellow.
It is an arbiter that in matches where there is something in play does not hesitate to show cards so that the party will not be complicated. Already refereed Milan – Napoli, showing 8 yellow.
In his last 6 matches in Serie A he would give 4 green in 6 matches.
In short, are two teams that play a place to play in the Europa League next season and will be like a final. Milan, already by itself is a team with many cards, I think it will not shrink leg in this match, just like the Atalanta. I do not even discard a red card in the game, which would make it easier, more so, to hit the forecast.
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