We are going with a Serie A match in which Sampdoria vs AC Milan face, on Sunday December 6 at 19:45 pm, at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa.
In this forecast we are looking for 3 or more goals to be scored in the match.
Sampdoria averages 3.22 goals in their matches of which 1.55 are in favor and 1.66 against, and in 78% of the matches more than 2.5 goals have been scored, and when they play at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris averages 3.25 goals per game, of which 1.75 are for and 1.5 against, and more than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of home matches.
AC Milan averages 3.22 goals in their matches of which 2.33 are in favor and 0.88 against, and in 67% of the matches more than 2.5 goals have been scored, and when they play away averages 3 goals of which 2.25 are in favor and 0.75 against, and in 75% of the away matches more than 2.5 goals have been scored.
The bookmakers give us a probability that this forecast will be 60%, and in my statistics I have contemplated that for this forecast there is a probability of 71%, so we have an 11% advantage over the bookies.
I want to tell you that sports bets are a high risk investment, they do not follow a time sequence, they are not marked by supply and demand, they are very volatile investments, so nothing is predictable, that is, you can perform very good analysis and lose the bet, or you can perform a “shit” analysis or do it without thinking and it comes out, but the best thing is to know what and why you are investing your money, this is the only way to get positive returns, and also head cold.
