Wolfsburg – FC Augsburg PREDICTION & PREVIEW (28.01.2017)

Under (-) 0.5 (first time)

I continue with my particular experiment on the likelihood that a party will end a scoreless draw after the first 45 minutes.

For the first time I will include the German league, which I thought was more tending to over and that was why I had missed it, however, after analyzing it calmly I see that there are really numbers quite similar to those in the Spanish league and these Have been my conclusions after the analysis of the next day of the Bundesliga.

According to the data that I do, the party with the most chances to finish without goals this day in the first half is this Wolfsburg vs Augsburg, where I estimate a chance of under of 54.51% compared to 45.49% that the shock Conclude with over 0.5 after 45 minutes.

The data on which I support are as follows:

– Wolfsburg have tied 0 to rest 7 games out of 17, that’s 41.17% of the matches this season, while there have been goals in the 58.83%
– Wolfsburg playing as a local has tied 0 to the rest 5 games of the 9 played, that’s 55.55% of the games, while there have been goals in 44.45% of the games.

– Augsburg have tied 0 to the rest 10 games out of 17, that’s 58.82% of the games they have played this season, while there has been at least one goal in only 41.18%.
-The Augsburg, playing as a visitor has tied 0 to the rest 5 games of the 8 played, that’s 62.50% of the matches while there has been at least one goal in 37.50% of the matches.

If we add the odds of over and divide them by four we get a probability of 54.51% over and 45.49% under.

With these numbers they would have to give us an over 2.25 and under quota of 1.83. Instead the betting houses are paying us 1.44 over and 2.62 under. I consider it a bet with a lot of courage and I bet it on William Hill.