Union Berlin – Mainz PREDICTION (02.10.2020)

soccer-predictions

Union Berlin – Mainz SOCCER PICKS

Union Berlin and Mainz 05 meet at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in a match for the 3rd round of the Bundesliga. In the last 3 years there is only a record of 2 direct confrontations between these two teams: one on 05-27-2020, which ended in a draw by (1‑1), and another more recent one on 11-09-2019, which ended in a Union Berlin victory by (2‑3). Mainz 05 presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor, so in this match the home factor may be decisive.

Union Berlin :

The home team is currently in 14th position, with 1 point won. In their debut they lost at home against Augsburg, by (1‑3). On matchday two, they drew away against Borussia M’gladbach by (1‑1). This is a team that presents similar results at home and abroad, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in his stadium. In their last 10 home games the Union Berlin has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Their defense has not been very strong, as they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored regularly, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 20 of the last 23 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals.

Union Berlin comes to this day after a one-ball draw against Borussia Monchengladbach, adding the second consecutive day without a win in the Bundesliga: Nico Schlotterbeck scored the only goal of the match. On this day, against Mainz 05, coach Urs Fischer will have to play 3-4-3, favoring the maintenance of possession and positional attacks. The forwards chosen will be Marius B’lter, Sheraldo Becker and Taiwo Awoniyi, the first player mentioned being very strong in the counterattack. For this game the coach of the house cannot count on Christian Gentner and Anthony Ujah, both with physical problems.

Mainz 05:

The visiting team is currently in 17th position, without any points won. In their debut they lost away against RB Leipzig by (3‑1). On matchday 2, they lost at home to Stuttgart by (1‑4). This is a team that curiously has been stronger away than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; against 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in his stadium. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, Mainz 05 won 3, drew 2 and lost 5. Their defense has not been very strong, since they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, as 17 of the last 19 matches have ended with Over 1.5 goals and 13 out of 19 have ended with Over 2.5 goals. In the last 3 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (76′ ‑ 90 ‘).

Mainz 05 comes to this game after a 1-4 reception loss to Stuttgart, thus adding the second consecutive defeat in this German championship: the only goal of the team was scored by Quaison. In this game away from home, coach Achim Beierlorzer must act in the usual tactical system, 4-3-3, favoring a medium or low block and counterattacks, especially through the right flank: Robin Quaison is a very fast and expert in exploiting spaces in the opponent’s defensive line. For this game, the visiting coach cannot count on Moussa Niakhate, suspended, in addition to Adam Szalai, Dong-Won Ji, Pierre Kunde, Stefan Bell and Edimilson Fernandes, these with physical problems.


© Andrey


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