Stuttgart – Hamburger SV Prediction & Picks (31.03.2018)

Stuttgart and Hamburger SV meet at Mercedes-Benz-Arena, in a match for the 28th round of the Bundesliga. In the last direct confrontation for this edition of the league, on 04-11-2017, the Hamburger SV won at home (3-1). The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 3. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 01-30-2016, for the Bundesliga, Stuttgart won by (2-1). A. Hunt (66 ‘Autogolo) and A. Kravets (88’) scored the goals of the game, for Stuttgart, and A. Rudņevs (75 ‘), for Hamburger SV. The condition home / away deserves particular attention, because despite this being a match between 8th and 18th of the league table, it is actually a match between the 3rd classified in home matches and the 18th as a visitor.

Stuttgart:

The home team is currently in the 8 th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 11 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against RB Leipzig, by (0-0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Freiburg, by (1-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 26 points in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Stuttgart has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. In the matches played in their stadium there are some frequent results: at half-time 0-0 (5 out of 13 matches) and at the end of the match 1-0 (5 out of 13 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 27 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 13 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Stuttgart arrives at this game motivated, after a triumph outsider, by 1-2, in the visit to the field of Freiburg: Gómez scored two goals in the match, allowing his team to conquer the three points. The local team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-4-2, favoring a more leisurely and organized style of play. In this tactical drawing, the two players responsible for throwing the panic in the opponent’s defense are Mario Gómez and Ginczek. The coach of Stuttgart will not be able to count on Carlos Mané, Matthias Zimmermann and Timo Baumgartl, for being injured. Andreas Beck will also be on the outside, because he is suspended.

Hamburger SV:

The away team is currently in the 18 th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 4 wins, 6 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bayern München, by (6-0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Hertha BSC, by (1-2). This is a stronger team in their stadium, where they won 13 points, against only 5 in their away matches. In the last match they played, for the Friendlies, they beat Odense BK at home (3-0). In the last 10 away league matches Hamburger SV has a record of 2 draws and 8 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 12 away matches. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: it only opened the scoring in 6 of its last 27 matches for the Bundesliga, of these 6 it reached the break in advantage in 5 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 4. In 27 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 17 times and never got the comeback.

The Hamburg comes to this game motivated, after a triumph, 3-0, in a friendly against Odense. The Hamburg is a team that likes a lot of air duels and is in this particular gets to take advantage of their rivals. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does so through the right flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by the Sakai side. Usually, the visiting team usually acts in a traditional 4-3-3, in which the three most advanced players are Kostic, Arp and Ito. The technician of the strangers will not be able to count on Nicolai Muller, for being injured.