RB Leipzig – Mainz Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (09.12.2017)

RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 meet at Red Bull Arena, in a match for the 15th round of the Bundesliga. There is only record of 2 recent direct matches between these two teams: on 05-04-2017, which ended with the victory of RB Leipzig by (2-3), and on 06-11-2016, which ended with the victory of the RB Leipzig by (3-1). In this match the home factor may be decisive, since Mainz 05 presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

RB Leipzig:

The home team is currently in the 2ª position, with 26 points won, after 8 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Werder Bremen, by (2-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Hoffenheim, by (4-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got a home loss with Beşiktaş by (1-2). In the last 6 home league matches RB Leipzig has a record of 5 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 16 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they have won the last 4 home matches and have not lost any of the last 6 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 1-0 (3 out of 6 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 7 times, but got the comeback in 3.

The RB Leipzig has in this game the opportunity to conquer its fifth consecutive victory at home for the German championship, thus compensating the unsatisfactory results that has been accumulating away from home, where it has not won for three games. On the last day he had much more time in his possession than the opponent, but left to desire both offensive and in defense, being thrashed by Hoffenheim, who opened the scoring in the first half and scored three more times in the second half. The performance of the defense in that match was an exception, since before it was one of the best in the competition. On the other hand, the club is one of the most finalists in the championship, standing out also for the good average possession of the ball. The 4-2-2-2 is still the tactical formation used by the coach, which should keep Forsberg in the starting lineup.

Mainz 05:

The away team is currently in the 14 th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Freiburg, by (2-1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Augsburg, by (1-3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 6 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 6 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (3 out of 8 matches). The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches in this tournament, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only won 1 result.

Mainz has not been doing a good campaign in this edition of the German championship, considering that they won only one victory in the last six days and now it comes from two consecutive defeats. The last of them happened inside the house, against Augsburg, in a match in which he did not have much offensive power, leaving to wish also in the defense, since he suffered three goals and allowed the victory of the opponent. As was evident in that game, it is characterized by an inconsistent defensive system, which is now among the four worst in the competition. As a visitor, he owns the fourth worst campaign and in that condition scored only three goals in six games. The coach is likely to keep the team in 4-3-3 or 3-4-2-1, with a highlight for Gbamin in midfield.