Mainz – Freiburg Prediction & Picks (18.01.2020)


Mainz – Freiburg SOCCER PICKS

Mainz 05 and Freiburg measure forces at Coface Arena, in a match for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. In the last direct confrontation for this edition of the league, on 17-08-2019, Freiburg won at home by (3-0). The history of direct confrontations disputed in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 3. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 05‑04-2019, for the Bundesliga, Mainz 05 won by (5-0). J. Boëtius (20 ‘), J. Mateta (25’, 33 ‘e 77’) and K. Onisiwo (73 ‘) scored the goals of Mainz 05. Attention to the home factor, since Mainz 05 usually conquers different results at home and out.

Mainz 05 :

The home team is currently in the 14th position, with 18 points won, after 6 wins and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, he won out against Werder Bremen by (0-5). In the last game, he lost at home against Bayer Leverkusen by (0-1). This is a team that curiously conquers more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 matches it records 8 wins and 7 losses as a visitor, with 29 goals scored and 26 suffered; against 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in his stadium, with 33 goals scored and 26 suffered. The team arrives at this match after a victory away with Borussia Dortmund by (0-2). For the championship, Mainz 05 conquered 9 points in 24 possible, after 3 wins and 5 losses in the last 8 games he played in his stadium. In their home league games the most frequent final result at the break was 0-1 (3 in 8 games). His defense has not been very solid, since he suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 17 games in this competition, he only got 2 comebacks in the 10 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Mainz 05 comes for this match after a 0-1 loss against Bayer Leverkusen, adding the third loss in the last four games for the German league. Remember that the home team won only 3 of the 8 games played in their stadium. Coach Achim Beierlorzer generally introduces a defensive team on the field, lined up in 4-3-3, with Robin Qualon as the freest man in the attack front: this player is the top scorer of Mainz 05, with 7 goals scored. We point out that the premises have shown important weaknesses at the end. For this match, the coach cannot count on Mwene, Edimilson Fernandes and Latza, all injured.

Freiburg :

After 7 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, the away team is currently in 8th position, with 26 points won. In their last match, they tied with Schalke 04 away by (2-2), after in the previous match they lost at home, in a match against Bayern München, by (1-3). This is a team that presents similar results at home and abroad, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, since in the last 30 matches it records 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in his stadium. In the last match he played, for the Friendlies, he lost with Borussia M’gladbach out by (2‑1). In its last 9 games as a visitor to the championship, Freiburg records 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so it won 12 points in 27 possible.

For this competition, he did not win any of the last 6 away matches. In their matches for the league as a visitor the most frequent final result at the break was 1‑1 (4 in 8 games). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches, so he has not presented great defensive strength, but his attack has scored regularly, since he scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 17 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 9 times and only got 2 comebacks.

Freiburg is coming for this match after a 2-2 draw against Schalke 04, thus adding the third consecutive game without a victory in this Bundesliga: the team’s goals were scored by Petersen and Grifo. Despite playing away from home, coach Christian Streich should use the usual 4-4-2 to benefit the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks: Grifo is responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. On the other hand, Nils Petersen stands out in this team, with 7 goals scored. For this match, the coach cannot count on Waldschmidt and Kubler, both due to injury.

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