Freiburg – Mainz Prediction & Picks (10.11.2018)


Freiburg – Mainz SOCCER PICKS

Freiburg and Mainz 05 meet at Schwarzwald-Stadion, in a match for the 11th round of the Bundesliga. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 25-11-2017, in a match for the Bundesliga that ended in the Freiburg victory by (2-1). The goals of the match were scored by N. Petersen (51 ‘) and F. Kath (90’), for Freiburg, and E. Berggreen (90 ‘), for Mainz 05. Despite being a match between 10th and 12th of the table, in fact it is a confrontation between the 8th classified in games at home and the 17th as a visitor.


The home team is currently in the 10 th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Borussia M’gladbach, by (3-1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Bayern München, by (1-1). This is a stronger team in his stadium, where he has won 8 points, against only 5 in his away matches. In the last 5 home league matches Freiburg has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 8 points out of 15 possible.

For this competition, he does not lose in his stadium 4 games ago. The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so they have not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 4 times and never got the comeback. In the last 6 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (46′-60 ‘).

Freiburg enter this game motivated after a draw, 1-1, in the field trip to the mighty Bayern Munich: the only goal of the team was marked by Lucas Holer. The local team likes fast attacks, being that it is so that it gets to take advantage in relation to its rivals. Usually, the local team plays in a 4-4-2, in which the two most advanced players are Lucas Holer and Luca Waldschmidt: the latter is the highlight of this team, with 2 goals and 2 assists. The coach of the premises will not be able to count on Kubler, Frantz, Niederlechner and Borrello, for being injured.

Mainz 05:

After 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 12 points won. In the last match, they have won at home against Werder Bremen by (2-1), after in the previous match they have lost at home, in a match against Bayern München, by (1-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since it has 1 spot away and 11 at its stadium, with 1 goal scored and 7 conceded in away matches, against 6 goals scored and 4 conceded at home. In the last away game in this competition, they lost in by (4-0) against Borussia M’gladbach. In the last 4 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 12 possible.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 4 away matches. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. In 10 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 5 matches they have conceded the first goal.

Mainz 05 enter this match with a 2-1 triumph at the Werder Bremen reception: the goals of the three points were scored by Gbamin and Mateta. The visiting team is an aggressive team in the field, both in the recovery of possession of the ball, as in individual duels. The outsider team usually acts in 4-4-2, favoring quick transitions. In this tactical drawing, the two responsible for throwing the panic in the opposing defense are Mateta and Cuánon, the first being one of the best markers of the team, with 2 goals scored. The coach Sandro Schwarz can not count on Adler, Muller, Baku, Berggreen and Bungert, all injured.

© Andrey

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