FC Koln – Mainz Prediction & Picks (07.04.2018)

Köln and Mainz 05 meet at RheinEnergieStadion, in a match for the 29th round of the Bundesliga. In the last head-to-head for this edition of the league, played on 18-11-2017, Mainz 05 won at home against (1-0). The history of direct confrontations disputed in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and tied 2. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a game in this stadium, on 20-05- 2017, for the Bundesliga, Köln won by (2-0). J. Hector (43 ‘) and Y. Ōsako (87’) scored the goals of the Köln. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Köln:

After 5 wins, 5 draws and 18 losses, the home team is currently in the 17th position, with 20 points won. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Hoffenheim by (6-0), after in the previous match they have won (2-0) at home, against Bayer Leverkusen. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Köln has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent end result at halftime was 0-1 (5 out of 14 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches in this competition, they have only won 1 of the 17 matches they suffered in the first goal.

The team of the Colony, champion by three times of the Bundesliga, the last time in the 1977/78 season, has been doing a very negative campaign and is at risk of descent. In the last five games of the Cologne at home, the team has been brave, lost only to Stuttgart and Dortmund, two teams that occupy places at the top of the table, in the other three games managed to at least tie. In the history of clashes between Cologne and Mainz in the home of Cologne, in 11 games, there were 7 wins of the Colony, 3 draws and only one victory of the Mainz. The team of the Colony has its virtues, as a good counterattack, players who tuck well from outside the area and a good number of crosses to the area, so they have all the conditions to at least tie this game.

Mainz 05:

The away team is currently in the 16th position, with 26 points won, after 6 wins, 8 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (3-0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Borussia M’gladbach by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent end result at halftime was 0-0 (5 out of 14 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. There is a tendency for goals in their away matches, since 12 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that scores only few times and was only able to open the scoring in 7 of its last 28 games for the Bundesliga, of these 7 reached the break in advantage in 3 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 4. In 28 matches in this competition, he only got 2 comebacks in the 19 games in which he suffered the first goal.

The Mainz 05 team never won the Bundesliga title and unfortunately it will not be this time that it will. The situation can be even worse, because the team is in a dangerous area, in the last positions of the qualifying table. In the last six away games, Mainz won only one, tied another and lost four, showing that the team becomes quite vulnerable away from their domains. The Mainz team has a defense that is easily overcome, has difficulties to avoid crosses and protect their area, with that, the Cologne will have many facilities to impose their game and create many difficulties to Mainz. Historically, the Mainz has difficulties to overcome in the house of the Colony and this must happen again.