Match corresponding to day 22 of the Bundesliga that will face Bayern Munich against Schalke 04 at the Allianz Arena. We are going to enter to that the local set wins the game and will be given more than 2.5 goals in the match. To say that I do not usually get much into Bayern’s victories because he has played me several times but I see value in this quota seeing.
Bayern Munich is the master of this Bundesliga with 53 points, 18 points from the 2nd classified, 51 goals in favor and 16 against. Schalke is in the 5th position in a tremendous struggle to enter Champions positions with 34 points, 33 goals in favor and 27 against.
In the wake of the Bayern victory little to say. Very superior to all the teams in this league that will want to leave it mathematically won as soon as possible in order to focus on the Champions which is the objective competition of this team. This superiority is magnified when playing at home, having won 13 of the 14 games he has played between league, cup and Champions this season. Only 1 draw against Wolfsburg prevents the full (tie that came after tracing a local 2-0 with a blunder of Ulreich in the first goal of the wolves).
Due to this difference of quality of the Bayern with respect to the others the fact is explained that it has marked in all its parties of Bundesliga played Allianz with an average of 3.20 goals in favor by party. In the case of goals against, we do not have such bad news either, since he has scored goals in 50% of the matches (5 of 10 matches). The +2.5 goals has been given in 8 of the 10 matches, with 7 of them Bayern wins and, therefore, times in which this bet would have been green. If we add the 4 matches he has played at home between Champions and the cup, seeing that in the 4 has been +2.5 goals and the local victory, we would have a 78% success (11 of 14 matches).
As a visitor we will have a Schalke who is not bad visitor, 5th with 15 points in 10 games played, 15 goals in favor and 14 against. Only in 4 of those 10 matches have there been +2.5 goals although we see that with an average of 2.9 goals per game (since other 4 matches have been 2 goals and has had some with more than 3 goals and even a 4-4 against Dortmund). It is one of the few teams that could compete with Bayern but we see that it has not won teams with a level more equal to his as ties against Gladbach, Frankfurt or Dortmund (spectacular comeback of a 4-0) and defeats against Leipzig or Hoffenheim.
Therefore, the superiority of Bayern in this league, especially at home with numerous thrashing, coupled with the fact that the next day I suppose that something will rotate as the Champions League returns, I believe that it will win and quickly rule the game against an opponent that could get in trouble.
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