Augsburg – Mainz PREDICTION (31.10.2020)

Augsburg-vs.-Mainz

Augsburg – Mainz SOCCER PICKS

Augsburg and Mainz 05 meet at WWK Arena, in a match for the 6th round of the Bundesliga. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which registers 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 games. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 07‑12‑2019, in a Bundesliga match that ended in Augsburg’s victory by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by M. Richter (41 ‘) and F. Niederlechner (65’), for Augsburg, and L. Öztunali (15 ‘), for Mainz 05. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Augsburg :

The home team is currently in 11th position, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to RB Leipzig by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Bayer Leverkusen by (3‑1). This is a team that curiously tends to achieve more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 7 victories, 4 draws and 4 defeats as a visitor, with 33 goals scored and 14 suffered; against 6 victories, 3 draws and 6 defeats in his stadium, with 28 goals scored and 23 suffered. In their last 10 home games Augsburg has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 15 of the last 16 matches have ended with Over 1.5 goals.

Augsburg comes to this game unmotivated, after a 3×1 defeat in the visit to the Leverkusen stadium, adding the third consecutive game without a win in this competition: the only goal of the team was scored by Daniel Caligiuri. In this match against the last classified in the league, coach Heiko Herrlich must act in the usual tactical system, 4-4-2, favoring attacking football from the first minutes: Florian Niederlechner and Michael Gregoritsch will be the most offensive references of the team. It should be noted that Augsburg have some weaknesses in maintaining possession and in the defensive transition. For this game the coach cannot count on Alfred Finnbogason and Jan Moravek, all with physical problems.

Mainz 05:

After 5 defeats, the visiting team is currently in 18th position, without having won any points. In their last match, they lost to Borussia M’gladbach at home by (2‑3), after having lost in the previous match at home, in a match against Bayer Leverkusen, by (0‑1). This is a team that curiously tends to achieve more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 6 victories, 2 draws and 7 defeats as a visitor, with 26 goals scored and 24 suffered; against 2 victories, 2 draws and 11 defeats in his stadium, with 15 goals scored and 30 suffered. In their last away match for this competition they lost (4‑0) against Union Berlin. In their last 10 away matches Mainz 05 has 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses.

In this competition, they lost the last 5 matches they played. The team has not been very strong defensively, since they have always suffered goals in the last 5 games they played in this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 18 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In the last 4 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (76’ ‑ 90 ‘); they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (16’ ‑ 30 ‘).

Mainz 05 comes to this match unmotivated by a 2×3 home loss at Borussia Monchengladbach, thus registering the fifth consecutive defeat in this Bundesliga: the team’s two goals were scored by Jean-Philippe Mateta. In this match at the home of Augsburg, coach Jan-Moritz Lichte must act in the usual 4-3-3, privileging the defensive organization and counterattacks, especially through the flanks: Robin Quaison and Levin Aztunali are very fast and skilled in transporting the ball for attack. We alert for Mainz 05 weaknesses in finishing, passing game and defensive stopped balls. All players are available for this game.


© Andrey


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