Total points for cards; More than 45
I know I should not get into Ligue 1 and less with Marseille in between, but I have to try this quota that seems to me to have a lot of value.
They face in the so-called "Choc des Olympiques" Lyon and Marseille, a qualified "classic" that really is not that it is excessively hard but that there is some rivalry.
Both teams are separated by four points in the standings, although Lyon with one match less than their rivals.
It is true that the current position in the table of Marseille has been forged in their stadium, where they had not lost any game until last week Monaco humiliated them taking the game by a goal to four.
Away from their stadium they are a contrast to what they do in their feud, they have only won two games and if not for Montpellier and Lorient (25 and 24 goals conceded respectively as visitors), would be the team more thrashed home.
Despite that, they came face-to-face in Paris (0-0) and made things difficult for Nice (3-2), although they thrashed again in Monaco (4-0).
Lyon on the other hand, is making a good season with respect to other years. In his stage has lost against PSG, Guingamp and Girondins and the rest has gained them with sufficiency.
They are the sixth team most reprimanded in Ligue 1, with 36 yellow cards and three red cards in 19 games (an average of 2.21 cards per game), although in their stadium their average drops to 1.78 cards. Of its nine parties in its fief, has surpassed the line in five of them.
For their part, Marseille, as I said last week against Monaco, is the least admonished of Ligue 1 and also are also the less cards provoke their rivals.
They have received 31 yellow cards and a red card in 20 games (1.65 cards per game) and as a visitor their average amounts to 1.9 cards per game, but their local rivals do not even reach the card per game (0, 8). This means that as a visitor only the line has been exceeded in a game of their ten (against Nice), and in the calculation of their 20 matches has only surpassed in 2/20.
But the referee of the match will be Ruddy Buquet, and is the main reason for the forecast. From Marseille they have already shown their indignation for the designation since last season pointed a non-existent penalty on Lacazzette and also expelled to Alessandrini by an entrance on Valbuena (hated by the liking of Marseilles by its past there and its march to Lyon).
Of the referees most cardholders of Ligue 1 (within what is this League), with a mean this season of 4.84 cards per game. He has surpassed 45 points per card in seven of his 13 meetings. His data for other seasons are as follows;
15/16; 21 meetings, 4.71 cards per game (exceeds the line in 10/21)
14/15; 21 meetings, 5.19 cards per game (exceeds the line in 13/21)
13/14; 19 meetings, 4.32 cards per game (exceeds the line in 10/19)
This season has led four matches to Lyon, and one to Marseille, in all have passed the line, Lyon have refereed against Nice (0-2) with six yellow and one red, against PSG (1-2) with Seven yellow against Girondins (1-3) with three yellows and one red, and in their victory against Monaco (3-1) where there were six yellow and one red.
Al Marseille on the other hand directed to him the encounter that lost in Rennes (3-2) where there were three yellow and one red.
The direct clashes between both teams usually leave us cards also in the last years. Ruddy Buquet has refereed in his career two of them giving the green in both.
16/17 Marseille 0-0 Lyon; Five yellow.
15/16 Lyon 1-1 Marseille; Four yellow.
15/16 Marseille 1-1 Lyon; Five yellow and one red (arbitrated by Buquet).
14/15 Marseille 0-0 Lyon; Seven yellow and one red.
14/15 Lyon 1-0 Marseille; Four yellow.
13/14 Marseille 4-2 Lyon; Three yellow.
13/14 Lyon 2-2 Marseille; Five yellows (arbitrated by Buquet).
With that hopefully we see a match played to the end (that Marseille do not lie as against Monaco) and that Buquet do the rest.
Moderate Stake, I do not like France much.