Watford – Burnley Prediction & Picks (07.04.2018)

Watford and Burnley meet at Vicarage Road Stadium, in a match for the 33rd round of the Premier League. In the last head-to-head for this edition of the league, played on 09-12-2017, Burnley won home (1-0). The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 matches won 2 and lost 1. Attention to the house factor, since the Watford usually conquer different results at home and away.

Watford:

The home team is currently in the 11 th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 10 wins, 7 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Liverpool, by (5-0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against AFC Bournemouth, by (2-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Watford has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches in the competition, he suffered the first goal 16 times and only managed 2 comebacks. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 10 of their 24 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Watford starts for this game with a two-way draw against Bournemouth, adding the third game in a row without tasting the victory in the English championship. Currently the landlords are still quietly in the middle of the qualifying table. In this match in his stadium coach Javi Gracia must keep the team in 4-2-3-1, privileging possession of the ball and organized attacks through the flanks. However, in some moments of the game you must act in a more direct way. Midfielder Doucouré is Watford’s best finisher, with 7 goals scored. For this game the home coach can not count on the injured Kaboul, Chalobah, Hoban and Deulofeu.

Burnley:

The away team is currently in the 7 th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 12 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against West Ham United, by (0-3). In the last match, they won in an away match against West Bromwich Albion, by (1-2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 13 suffered. For the championship, Burnley won 13 points out of 30 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (7 out of 16 matches). The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 31 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 14 matches they have conceded the first goal.

The Burnley comes to this game with a win away from home against West Bromwich, by 1-2, totaling in this way the third consecutive win in the championship. It is important to underline that visitors present the sixth best performance playing away from home. In this game, coach Sean Dyche must maintain the usual 4-4-2, with Barnes and Wood being the most advanced players on the team: the second is the best score of Burnley, with 8 goals scored. However, outsiders exhibit several weaknesses in the maintenance of possession and completion of the ball. For this game the visiting coach can not count on Defour, Walters, Brady and Marney, all with physical problems.