Matchday 23 of the Premier League that faces Southamptom and Liverpool at St Mery. We go back to this market that I am using so much, and luckily we are doing well for now, and that both teams score and 3 goals or more are given. I do not usually enter this market in the Premier but I have decided to enter for this game.
Southampton is in dangerous zone, position 15, with 26 points (only 2 over the descent), 28 goals in favor, 38 against and 4 consecutive games without knowing the victory. Liverpool is ranked 3rd in the fight for a place in the Champions League with 51 points, 59 goals in favor and 31 against.
Southampton has a bad streak without winning at home in the last 6 games, getting in 14 games 15 points, 16 goals in favor and 19 against. He has scored in 10 of the 14 games played at home and has received in 12 of 14.
Regarding the aspects of the pick we do not have news as favorable as in the case of Liverpool that I will now comment but I see a good trend. Only in 11 of the 26 matches (42%) of the season have they exceeded 2.5 goals in Saints matches, despite averaging 2.54 goals per game, while in 16 of the 26 matches (62 %) the both have been marked. As a local, the percentage of parties that exceed 2.5 goals up to 36% (5 of 14) worsened a bit, despite, as in the previous case, of averaging 2.5 goals the games played in St Mary; and they increase a little the both of them mark up to 64% (9 of 14). Although we do not have good% I see a favorable trend, as I said before, and is that in the last 7 games has been the both marked, having also given in 3 of them +2.5 goals. Only in 5 of the 14 matches has the necessary conditions to win money but we also find very close situations like 4 matches with a result of 1-1.
As a visitor we have the main argument for which I see value to this bet, Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool. 24 points won as a visitor in 13 games, being the top scorer (even above the City) and the 5th in goals received with 32 and 22 goals respectively.
In 18 of the 26 matches of Liverpool (69%) they have exceeded 2.5 goals, with a tremendous average of 3.46 goals per game, and in 14 of 26 games (54%) the two teams have scored . Average that goes up considerably when we talk about games played away from Anfield giving in 11 of 13 (85%) the +2.5 goals, with an incredible average of 4.13 goals per game, and in 8 of 13 (62%) the both teams score. In total, our bet would be green in 7 of the 13 games.
Therefore, some Saints with the need to start getting results at home and with a trend of favorable matches for the bet and a Liverpool with a great offensive potential and a defense whose performance goes down when it is far from Anfield make you have to try this bet .
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