Southampton – Bournemouth Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (01.04.2017)

Prediction for Southampton – Bournemouth

Bournemouth more than 4.5 corners @ 1.90

More lines that we like. I think it’s worth the over 4.5 corners of Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth in their visit to Southampton’s St Mary’s Stadium.

Southampton

After the pause of selections, the Southampton arrives in picture. To the already well-known casualties of Charlie Austin, McCarthy, Targett and Virgil Van Dijk that could be low what remains of season adds of the one and Gabbiadini that drags annoyances in the groin.

On the part of the cherries, Harry Arter, Stanislas and Ryan Fraser are doubtful while as safe losses they have to Tyronne Mings by sanction and Callum Wilson by knee injury.

Focusing on the Saints section they will return to play at home after spending the last 3 days away from their stadium. They come from losing 2-1 in the last day against Tottenham and now with the significant loss Gabbiadini are without their 2 main offensive referents, instead there are 2 possible options such as Shane Long and Jay Rodriguez. At home they were signing good numbers but they have lost 3 of the last 4 matches in their stadium and the one that did not lose was a 3-0 against the Leicester of Ranieri.

Currently they are 10th with 33 points, the same as their rivals this Saturday but with 2 more games pending Saints. It is not a team that concedes a lot of corners to its rivals but teams like Tottenham reached 10 corners (if it is true that Southampton finished with almost all the second part), Liverpool did 8 corners in the tie 0-0 in league and 5 Corners in the FA Cup semi-final defeat, or Sunderland earlier in the year pulled out 5 corners. Southampton needs to win to motivate the team. Obviously despite the low are favorites and going ahead will make their opponents want to go out to bite more.

Bournemouth

On the other hand we find Bournemouth. A team that has suffered a lot with the losses and the return of Nathan Ake to Chelsea but that has added 7 points in the last 3 days including a tie in Old Trafford that has given them a margin of improvement that can be key to stay in the category. They are 9 points above the descent so they have nothing to lose. Eddie Howe’s team usually plays a pretty attractive game that has allowed him to be in a fairly quiet position. As visitors they add 2 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, quite poor data besides to fit 31 goals, to an average slightly superior to 2 by party.

In the section corners are a fairly over-the-home team. Against West Ham took 6 corners, against Crystal Palace 4 despite starting in the first minutes of the game and later draw in the final, against Manchester City they took 5 corners despite having only a 36% possession, against Watford 5 Corners in spite of going 2 times ahead on the scoreboard, against Boran Karanka took 9 corners, 4 against Stoke City despite winning the match, 10 against Arsenal, 11 against Burnley, these last 2 games lost. They took 3 corners in a 0-3 victory at home to Swansea, 5 against Hull City, 8 corners in the 6-3 loss to Everton, 6 corners against West Brom and only 2 against Manchester United in a match where the Cherries were left with 10 from the first part.

Making the average exit Bournemouth takes out 5.57 corners when they play away from their stadium.

Southampton – Bournemouth head to head

As antecedents between both, the 3 previous parties (the one of the first return and the 2 of last season) were green.

01-11-15: Southampton 2-0 Bournemouth (6 corners in a match where the Saints were left with 10 by expulsion of the present player of Tottenham Wanyama).
01-03-16: Bournemouth 2-0 Southampton (10 corners).
18-12-16: Bournemouth 1-3 Southampton (7 corners).

I also thought about the handicap +1.5 corners of Bournemouth but it does not give me enough confidence due to the fact of Southampton casualties and that the home sides are also over. Come on with Stake 1.5 and good luck to whoever follows me.