Let’s go with the next pick for this weekend. Match of the 5th day in the Premier League that will face Sheffield and Fulham in Bramall Lane. Two teams with the same destination, the bottom of the table, and the same goal, salvation. This is reflected in the classification in just 4 games played: full of defeats for both and their brand new points locker.
The person in charge of delivering justice will be the collegiate Andre Marriner.
And this time we are going to look for the total cards under, needing less than 4 to paint our pick green.
Analyzing Marriner, we see that this season he has directed 2 meetings, with each under, 3 and 1 cards respectively.
And we are talking about the lowest referee in the entire Premier. Last year, 24 games for 63 cautions. An average of only 2.63 per game (far from the 3.66 that there was on average in the championship). For our pick, 18 green and 6 red. Similar numbers last season, with 27 games directed in which we would have had 19 green and 8 red. Almost traced to the previous one, 17/18, with another 27 games and 18 green for 9 red.
Therefore, very favorable figures and the main argument of our pick.
As against data we could have the figures of the teams, which have started in the high part as far as cards are concerned, and therefore the line is set at 3.5 and not lower.
Sheffield has seen 8 cards in their 4 games, while Fulham has 11 in the same games.
I am inclined that therefore his stockings should go down, and a better scenario than with Marriner in between I do not see.
That is why I tip the balance towards the referee’s figures and we will see few cards.
Let us trust that statistics fulfill their function, that the factors that we consider relevant are relevant and that we are accompanied by that bit of luck that is always needed.
I hope I have been of help to you, and of course, good luck to the one who decides to follow her and go with her.