Newcastle – Watford Prediction & Picks (03.11.2018)

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Newcastle – Watford SOCCER PICKS

Newcastle United and Watford meet at St. James’ Park, in a match for the 11 th round of the Premier League. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 5 matches won 5. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 05-05-2018, ended with the victory of Watford by (2 -one). Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Newcastle United:

The home team is currently in the 19 th position of the league, with 3 points won, after 3 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Brighton & Hove Albion, by (0-1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Southampton by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium.

For this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last games at home and they have not won any of the last 10 matches. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that usually feels very difficult to score first. In fact, he only opened the scoring once in the last 10 games for the Premier League. In 10 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 6 times and never got the comeback.

Newcastle continues its disastrous campaign in the Premier League, as it is one of the 2 teams that has not yet won after 10 rounds and is looking for a recovery to try to leave the relegation zone. The home team has a low quality defense, which suffered 14 goals and is the eighth weakest in the competition, but the big problem has been the enormous offensive inefficiency, since it scored only 6 goals and has the second worst attack of the competition. Playing at home, as in this game, Newcastle has the worst campaign of the English championship, suffered goals in the 5 games played in his stadium and most worrying is that he scored only 3 goals in these games, again showing his low offensive power . For the game against Watford, coach Rafa Benítez must repeat the starting line-up of the last day, when he drew away from home with Southampton.

Watford:

After 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, the away team is currently in the 7 th position, with 19 points won. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Wolverhampton Wanderers, by (0-2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Huddersfield Town, by (3-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last 4 away matches for the championship Watford has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 7 points out of 12 possible. The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in this tournament, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only won 1 result. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 7 away matches for all competitions: they suffered 5 of their 6 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Watford had a great start to the English championship, but fell performance after the initial rounds and now went back up production, with 2 consecutive wins, and goes in search of another win to try to enter the qualifying zone for European competitions of the next season. The team scored 16 goals, having the seventh best attack of the competition, and suffered 12 goals, being the sixth strongest defense, so much that they did not suffer goals in their last 2 games. Acting away from home, as in Saturday’s match, Watford lost only 1 of the 4 games they played and suffered only 4 goals, an interesting record in their away matches, which again shows their good defensive strength. For the confrontation with Newcastle, coach Javi Gracia goes to the field with the same team that had a great performance on the last day.


Prediction Related Bets:

Draw3.251-16.00BTS / YES1.92

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