Prediction for Liverpool – Burnley
Liverpool win and both mark @ 3.10
Premier League match against Liverpool and Burnley.
Bet on “Win Liverpool and Both Score”.
Liverpool
We are going with a pick for the match in which Liverpool is still in contention to be in the Champions League next year (at least to be able to keep that 4th place that would give him a place to play in a qualifying round to enter the Champions League.
As one of the best sides, with 9 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss (34 goals in favor and 12 goals against), he faces the worst visitor in the entire Premier League. While the opposing side of Burnley, their local matches make it a fearsome venue, away from home is the team that it costs him the most, having only 2 points away from home in 13 games played (8 goals in favor And 28 goals against).
At first, with these data, it can be quite counterproductive to go with a pick that implies that a great local, who has only conceded 12 goals in 13 matches, has to fit one against a team that has only gone 2 points and scored 8 goals in 13 games.
Let’s go first to the clear part. The Liverpool win is the Bookies’ favorite choice with a wide difference. It’s completely normal if we look at your stats. The normal thing would be to see a victory for Liverpool, a strong local team (3rd in the league), which also plays against a team that outside their fief suffers a lot.
Why a pick that also seeks a goal against? The Burnley has improved slightly in its last exits. Take 4 consecutive goals away from home. It is a team that has already scored against other top teams in the league, such as Arsenal (2-1), Tottenham (2-1) and Manchester City (2-1). Of the other teams “top”, did not score before United (0-0), or against Chelsea (3-0). It is a team that away from home counts on the occasions counted in many matches.
Burnley
However, Liverpool, is not at its best shape. It is true that, after the January debacle (1V-4E-4D, counting both cups) has managed to win 2 games of the last 4 games played (winning 2 wins and 2 losses). However, the level demonstrated is still leaving to be desired. On January 21, Swansea City, with 3 shots between the 3 clubs, scored 3 goals. Liverpool are a possession team (such as Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester City – against midfield, middle-low), and this can be a bad thing for Liverpool. As local only has not conceded goal in 3 of his 13 matches. He did not fit against United, against City or against Tottenham. Precisely speaking of teams that suffer if they do not have the ball, so winning the dispute of this is important. In addition, a match between top teams, which can be respected, is not the same as a team like Burnley (the worst team away from home). The fact that they can be so extremely offensive can be a double-edged sword. Although a great way to defend is with the ball, if they are very offensive the Burnley can take advantage of cons to score a goal. The other most likely form would be isolated plays, such as can be played with standing ball and good sporadic attacks.
Minimum Stake for this pick. Liverpool, as I said before, has only maintained the goal at 0 on 3 occasions as a local and precisely was not against teams from the lower zone, if not all complicated parties. I think they will be able to leave enough space for Burnley to be able to hurt a Liverpool that is watching as their aspirations to Champions fade by the bad new year that they had.
The Burnley has not just goal away from home, this is evident, but has already shown that he is able to take advantage of contras and plays isolated against the big teams. He has scored 3 teams that had the ball at all times, so I think they may be able to repeat this.
Red can be seen in two ways. Whether or not they score Liverpool will not win (a tricky part of seeing the red one. The only way to see red for this part would be for Liverpool to suffer some expulsion + penalti, or the like, or that they are void Goal, as it has been for the entire month of January), or that the Burnley is not able to score (this is the most complicated part of the bet without a doubt but, as I said before, it is the fact that Liverpool is A very offensive team which encourages me to think that a goal from Burnley is not at all farfetched.
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