Bournemouth – Swansea Prediction & Picks (05.05.2018)

AFC Bournemouth and Swansea City meet at Vitality Stadium, in a match for the 37th round of the Premier League. The two teams tied (0-0), on 25-11-2017, in the previous match for this edition of the league. The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 3. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 03-18-2017, for the Premier League, AFC Bournemouth won by (2-0). A. Mawson (31 ‘Autogolo) and B. Afobe (72′) scored the goals of AFC Bournemouth. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

AFC Bournemouth:

The home team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 38 points won, after 9 wins, 11 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Manchester United, by (0-2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Southampton, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 27 suffered. In the last 10 home matches for the championship AFC Bournemouth won 4, tied 3 and lost 3, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (7 out of 18 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 36 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 22 times and only managed 4 comebacks. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 18 home matches for this competition: they scored 10 of their 25 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

The Bournemouth has been going through a terrible phase in the Premier League, does not win 5 rounds, comes from 3 consecutive defeats and needs a recovery to conquer the point that is needed to ensure the maintenance in the Premier League next season. The team has presented serious defensive problems, so much that it is the fourth worst defense of the national championship, with 60 goals suffered, so much that it suffered at least 2 goals per game in the last five days, while its attack also needs improvement, as it comes acting very irregularly, alternating between good and bad exhibitions. Playing at home, as in the clash this Saturday, Bournemouth managed only 1 win in the last five rounds and it should be noted that games are usually open in this type of situation, since in 8 of the last 9 home games There were goals from both teams. For the confrontation with Swansea City, coach Eddie Howe goes to the field with the same starting eleven of the last day, since his injured players will not recover in time to be available.

Swansea City:

The away team is currently in the 17 th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 18 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Manchester City, by (5-0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Chelsea, by (0-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 away league matches Swansea City has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (7 out of 17 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. In their away matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since in 11 of the last 18 they played there were less than 3 goals. In 35 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 21 times and only managed 2 comebacks.

The Swansea City is doing a bad campaign in the English Championship, does not win 6 rounds, in which it tied 3 and lost 3 and needs an urgent recovery, since it has only 1 point of advantage over the descent zone.