After only one point from the last five competitive games in 2019, Dynamo Dresden had to hibernate seven points behind the first non-relegation zone in the last rank of the 2nd Bundesliga.
Now the twelfth of the pre-season starts the new year against the team that holds the first non-relegation spot – the Karlsruher SC. This means that the Rudolf Harbig Stadium has a genuine six-point game. On the one hand, the team of ex-KSC coach Markus Kauczinski can move up to four points to the Baden team. On the other hand, in the event of a home bankruptcy, up to ten points behind the saving bank would be recorded.
The bookmakers keep themselves largely covered. So at Dresden against Karlsruhe, according to the odds, the crystal clear favorite is missing. The numbers in the direction of the home side are only minimal, which can only be due to the home advantage.
After all, the Saxons brought eleven of their 13 points at home, while the newcomer from Baden-Württemberg could only win one of his nine matches. Statistics that are included in our forecast for Dresden against Karlsruhe.
In addition, the eight-time GDR champion has not lost a single of his last four home games against the KSC. All in all, this offers a lot of value for tip 1 going up against Karlsruhe against Karlsruhe.
On December 10, 2019, Markus Kauczinski, who a few years ago would have made it into the Bundesliga with Karlsruher SC, joined SG Dynamo Dresden. However, his previous performance data read very modestly.
Two games, two defeats, and a goal difference of 0: 5. This is the result, which does not indicate that the change of coach was worthwhile, especially since interim coach Heiko Scholz made a 1-1 draw at home against SV Sandhausen before he handed the torch to the new coach after six days.
Now the 49-year-old has to justify his commitment against his former employer. A task for which the transfer market has also been refilled – and not too short.
Because top scorer Moussa Koné switched to Nîmes Olympique in French Ligue 1 for around EUR million, new staff was needed. Dynamo Dresden borrowed five players by the end of the season to somehow manage the relegation class.
The last enforcement report comes from relegation-threatened 1. FC Nürnberg, from which defensive midfielder Ondrej Petrak joined the Saxons. As soon as the press release on the loan was released on Sunday, the 27-year-old already appeared during training. Like the other four loan players, he could already be an option against the KSC.
That is exactly what makes it difficult to give a tip against Dresden against Karlsruhe. After all, a restructured sports community is like a colorful surprise bag, in which it is difficult to predict what awaits the opponent.
In the meantime, the only thing that is certain is that Markus Kauczinski does not undertake any tactical experiments, but rather lets them play in the classic 4-2-3-1 system. At least that’s how he sent his men onto the field in the four friendly games during the winter break, of which Dynamo was able to win three matches without conceding a goal.
Certainly this is not very meaningful. Nevertheless, with the trainer a certain belief in relegation seems to have returned to the Saxon capital. It is all the more important that the results now follow.
On the first four match days in the new year, it will finally be against Karlsruhe, Heidenheim, Darmstadt and St. Pauli. With the exception of the FCH, they are all direct competitors in the fight for relegation. Because these are always six-point games, in the end even a handsome gain of seven out of twelve possible points could be one track too little. In other words: the moment of truth has now come for Dynamo Dresden.
The Karlsruher SC – who returned to second division in second division last season – did not have a carefree Christmas celebration. The Badeners overwintered on the first non-relegation zone. However, Alois Schwartz’s team said goodbye to the winter break with two defeats.
The head start on the relegation place is now only a tiny point, which is why the Baden-Württembergers have to deliver results. After all, there are only four wins of the season from the 18 games in the 2nd Bundesliga. The biggest shortcoming was the defensive, which already allowed 36 goals. This earned the German Champion of 1909 the status as a shooting gallery in the league.
The problem here is that the role in the gate has become increasingly vacant. Benjamin Uphoff – actually set – wanted to leave the club in the summer. The Badeners put a stop to it. Since then, the worm has been inside Uphoff, whose place after a few failures at the start of 2020 could go to substitute Marius Gersbeck.
The fact that the goalkeeper position is not Alois Schwartz’s only construction site is doubly problematic. Even in the storm there is a desperate search for a capable attacker. New signing Philipp Hofmann hit the mark and already marked ten goals. But there is plenty of air behind it.
Also because Dominik Stroh-Engel did not trust the second division and stayed in the 3rd division at Unterhaching in the summer, while Marvin Pourié – last season with 22 goals scorer in the 3rd division – did trust the second division, but with the gait there was mostly overwhelmed. At least his only two goals in 16 games testify to this, which is why he was again awarded to Braunschweig in the winter.
With Jérome Gondorf from SC Freiburg, the Baden team also managed to land an interesting man who will come to Karlsruhe on loan until the end of the season. However, an attacker is still pending. After all, Kyoung-Rok Choi should not be an option anymore after the cruciate ligament rupture.
Perhaps that is why the odds of bookmakers at Dresden versus Karlsruhe are slightly shifting towards the home side, who ultimately only have to get to grips with the 1.95 meter storm tank Philipp Hofmann, which poses practically the entire danger. A KSC that only took four points from the last five league games is therefore anything but worry-free in the Saxon capital.