Guimaraes – Estoril Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (12.03.2017)

Guimaraes-Estoril

Prediction for Guimaraes – Estoril

Under 2.5 goals @ 1.76


We are going to this Portuguese league match between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril and we are going to bet on Under 2.5 Goals during the match.

Guimaraes

On the one hand we have Vitoria de Guimaraes, a team that has played 11 games at home this season and in 7 of them has been given under 2.5. (63.6% accuracy). The 4 matches in which this pick has NOT been given have been:

26/08/2016 Guimaraes 5 – 3 Pacos Ferreira (8 goals)
01-10-2016 Guimaraes 3 – 3 Sp Lisbon (6 goals)
04-11-2016 Guimaraes 2 – 1 National (3 goals)
18-12-2016 Guimaraes 3 – 1 Setubal (4 goals)

If we see his last 4 matches as a local, the pick would go green:

07/01/2017 Guimaraes 0 – 2 Benfica (2 goals)
28-01-2017 Guimaraes 0 – 0 Maritimo (0 goals)
11-02-2017 Guimaraes 0 – 2 Porto (2 goals) Goals scored
24/02/2017 Guimaraes 1 – 0 Moreirense (1 goal)

Estoril

Opposite is Estoril, one of the most under teams in the Portuguese league (if not the most under).
If we analyze his 12 games played as a visitor this season, we see a very positive data for the pick: in 75% of the occasions, the pick would turn green. (9 hits and 3 errors of 12 games). The 3 matches in which the pick was NOT were:

23-09-2016 Sp Lisboa 4 – 2 Estoril (6 goals)
01-10-2016 Rio Ave 1 – 2 Estoril (3 goals)
13-01-2017 Arouca 2 – 1 Estoril (3 goals)

As we see, except the game vs. Sporting Lisbon, in the other 2 almost produced the under.

For all this, I will go with Under 2.5 Goals during the match. That yes, stake low just in case.

Good luck to those who follow me, and for the green!

© Andrey

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