Liverpool – Arsenal Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (04.03.2017)

Prediction for Liverpool – Arsenal

Double Chance: X2 (Arsenal or Draw) @ 1.73

Party of the twenty-seventh day of the Premier League where Liverpool and Arsenal meet on Saturday, March 4 at 18:30 in Anfield, will referee Robert Madley.

Liverpool

The hosts recover Grujic and Lovren. And the Arsenal have the injuries of Cazorla and Elneny safe and the doubts of Debuchy, Lucas Perez, Koscielny and Ozil. Retrieve Sanogo and Ramsey.

Liverpool come from losing to the new Leicester 3-1 in a game that the locals sentenced in the first part. And Arsenal do not play a match since February 20 of the FA Cup against Sutton United as Southampton had the League Cup final against Manchester United.

I go with the double chance tie or Arsenal victory. Liverpool have 8 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in 12 home games. 31 goals in favor and 11 against.

Arsenal

Arsenal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in 12 away games. 28 goals in favor and 15 against.

Of the 24 matches (12 local Liverpool and 12 Arsenal visitors) there have been 11 home wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. (46-25-29)%. While it is true that local victory is the most common in this case we will go with the other two options that are majority.

The reasons are:

1. The quotas. Liverpool’s victory is paid at 2.00 (50%) when in reality there is a 46% chance. My opinion is that it is underpaid and the fee should be close to 2.17.

In contrast the double option tie is paid to 1.83 (54%) and there is a 54% chance that occurs. Being this quota more agreed and more speaking that in front is an entire Arsenal that should focus on the Premier since the Champions after the first leg against Bayern is practically ruled out.

2. The streak of each. Liverpool from their last five home games has only won one and has lost to lightweight opponents like Wolves, Southampton and Swansea and receiving several goals. For his part Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 games as a visitor. His two defeats have been against Bayern and Chelsea.

3. Of their last 5 games between the two teams there have been 1 Liverpool victory, 3 draws and 1 Arsenal victory (80% for us). And of the last 5 in Anfield only 1 Reds win, 2 draws and 2 Arsenal wins (80%). And globally there have been 11 Liverpool victories, 14 draws and 19 Arsenal victories. (75%).

4. Arsène Wenger. He has played 49 games against Liverpool and has won 19, tied 16 and 14 losses. (71%). And against Kopp he has played 7 with 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. (71%).